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Home National & International

BJP to retain UP, AAP to win Punjab, predicts Lokniti-CSDS exit poll

Lagatar News by Lagatar News
March 9, 2022
in National & International
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Lagatar24 Desk

New Delhi, March 9: A new post-election poll predicts that the BJP will win in Uttar Pradesh and the Congress will lose big in Punjab, barely a day before the ballots are counted in five state elections tomorrow.

According to the Lokniti-CSDS exit poll, the BJP and its allies would win 43% of the vote in Uttar Pradesh.

According to the exit poll, Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party, the BJP’s biggest competitor, will receive 35% of the vote.

According to a series of tweets by political analyst Sanjay Kumar, Mayawati’s BSP is expected to gain 15% of the vote, the Congress 3%, and the others 4%, according to Lokniti-CSDS.

Lokniti- CSDS Post Poll Survey UP
AC 70 Locations 280
Sample size nearly 7000 (exact number awaited as some data yet to be added)
Vote Share Estimate
BJP+ 43%
SP+ 35%
BSP 15%
Cong 3%
Oth 4%
Big win for BJP
Margin of error 3%@LoknitiCSDS @csdsdelhi

— Sanjay Kumar (@sanjaycsds) March 9, 2022

Lokniti- CSDS Post Poll Survey findings PUNJAB
No of AC 45 Locations 180 all sampled randomly, Sample size 4668, voters sampled randomly from voters list
Vote share Estimate
AAP 40%
Cong 26%
SAD+20%
BJP+ 7%
Oth 7%
Big victory for AAP
Margin of error 4%@LoknitiCSDS @csdsdelhi

— Sanjay Kumar (@sanjaycsds) March 9, 2022

 

A seat projection was not done as part of the survey.

The Lokniti-CSDS exit poll predicts a devastating defeat for the Congress in Punjab and Uttarakhand. According to the report, the Goa findings are once again a hung jury.

According to Lokniti-CSDS, Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is expected to receive 40% of the vote in Punjab, while the Congress would receive 26%. The BJP-led alliance would receive 7% of the vote, while its former ally, the Akali Dal, would receive 20%.

 In Goa, a new exit poll shows the BJP with 32% of the vote and the Congress with 29%. According to the report, the Trinamool Congress would receive 14% of the vote, while the AAP would receive 7%.

Notably, previous exit polls in Punjab forecast an AAP triumph. According to exit polls, AAP has 63 seats in Punjab’s 117-seat legislature, with a 59 percent majority. According to polls, the ruling Congress is expected to place second in the assembly with 28 members.

In Goa and Uttarakhand, the majority of exit polls projected a tie.

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